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Party Label Blindness

: January 12, 2020

What I’m noticing, is that a good percentage of America doesn’t understand the internal divisions within each political party. They’d vote for Rand Paul then vote for John McCain and not see the contradiction. Or they’d vote for Hillary and vote for Bernie and not see the contradiction. It’s a bit like support Stalin and Trotksy at the same time or Hitler and Strasser at the same time.

Trump Referendum

: January 12, 2020

Where Trump has changed:
-H-1B Visas.
-End endless wars (I’ve already addressed his pull out on the Kurds – that is something that should have happened but it should have been at a steady pace, not 3 years of doing nothing then pulling out all at once then moving the troops to Iraq.)
-Minimum wage.
-Health care. He was supposed to have a health care plan, just a different one from Obama’s.
 
Where Trump said little, but disappointed:
-Eliminating safety net programs like food stamps. As an independent who ran as a Republican, I didn’t like to see him go 100% Republican.

 

Where Trump has remained consistent:
-Pro-Israel (I tolerated his pro-Israel views because he was a self-funder so I thought at least he wasn’t controlled by pro Israel money. But I always knew he was prone to make radical pro-Israel statements.)
-Opposition to the Iran Deal (I held my nose and still voted for him).
 
Overall I’d say there is no reason to support Trump again.

Bernie and Socialism

: January 11, 2020

People who say Bernie will lose because they’ll hammer him as a socialist, comparing his Democratic socialism to other forms of socialism, are practicing a form of politics that is five years out of date.

It’s not Ronald Reagan’s era. People are fed up with corporations not fed up with government programs that feed the poor.

The only way Bernie will win the general and the nomination is by running hard on the anti-war and anti corporate greed line. If he does anything else he’ll be seen as a sell out. Biden can run in the middle, but Bernie can’t.

Wrong Lesson on John Kerry’s 2004 Loss

: January 11, 2020

The wrong lesson was learned from the 2004 election. John Kerry did not lose the election because he opposed the war, but Bush stood steady on it and so people voted for the “stronger” commander in chief. Instead, he wavered and argued over tactics but not whether we should be at war. On the contrary, it was a popular opinion that a Democrat who ran against the war (like Obama) would have done better than Kerry. And Kerry came close to Bush, so it’s likely that an anti-war Democrat would have beaten Bush.

On the other hand, an anti-war democrat would have been very polarizing and dividing. But probably victorious.

As far as learning lessons go, FDR did not do anything bold. When Japan and Germany went crazy FDR responded. It’s the wrong lesson to portray America as a cartoon character. Bold decisions have all been failures.

Warren and Trump weak on Tech workers

: January 11, 2020

Warren lost her frontrunner status because she appeared to care more about pathways to legal immigration (such as h-1b visas, green cards, amnesy) than American workers. Whereas Sanders appears like he’s doing what he’s doing to stay competitive with Warren, but that he cares more about workers.

Measuring progress only by diversity is like measuring fitness only by weight. There are a lot of other things that determine if we’re making progress or not. Getting white workers removed from their jobs is not progress. (I’m not sure Warren understands this).

Also, Trump has sold out on tech workers. That was the only thing left that I still had to say positive about him. I agreed with him protecting our jobs from people who pretend we aren’t qualified to do them and then hire people with nowhere near the same talent.

War on Iran and American Revolution

: January 11, 2020

On a war with Iran, the best analogy is the American revolution. The British were technically superior, better organized, better suited for conventional warfare. But the American people just didn’t want them there and so guerilla warfare prevailed

Iran would not be an Iraq where American could pretend to win by dividing the population into three groups and setting them against each other. It would be like the American revolution with additional barrier of language – we don’t both speak English.

Democrats not Persuaded Soleimani Attack was Self-Defense

: January 11, 2020

I am open to changing my mind on this if evidence does show that he was about to do some radical strike that killed a bunch of people. At the same time, even then, I’d blame Trump for not getting out of the middle east day by day since 2016 (I blame Obama and Bush too) and for nixing the Iranian nuclear deal, which allowed peaceful nuclear energy and not a nuclear weapon and which was successful and tanked only for Trump’s politics.
See this link too:
If he was coming to commit some act of violence vigilante style against the laws of Iraq, then i don’t see why the pm would lie about it.
 
Because the big question is “why was Soleimani there?” Was he there because he was tricked into some meeting, or was he there to kill a bunch of people. And I don’t see why the PM would lie. And I do see why Trump would lie and Trump lies all the time.
No sane person supports killing, it’s a question of the lesser of two evils. So reasonable people may support the death penalty because letting a murderer live better than his victim is an evil. And pro-life people may support an exception to save the life of the mother, because it’s a greater evil to kill the mother. Therefore to convince people that the strike was justified, you need to convince people that the alternative would have been more harm and death. Basically it was kill or be killed. I don’t believe that. I think it was a political stunt.

Iran has no Triangle like Iraq

: January 9, 2020

Nobody won the Iraq war it’s a civil war with a triangle of kurds and then Arabs divided by religion sunni and Shia and the religious divides go deeper like there are millions of different genres of heavy music.

America did not win Afghanistan either as the taliban (not to be confused with al qaeda) is resurgent though unrecognized.

Iran is not like Iraq with the triangle, and it is a unified country. Anyone who thinks the military would slam dunk it on their turf is acting delusional. Guerilla warfare favors a unified population that wants an invader out.

Iran is not above criticism, but don’t listen to the advise of flag wavers who were wrong on Iraq, Libya, Vietnam and Syria and wrong on Obama’s nuclear deal (they said Iran would build a nuke – they were wrong) and wrong on wmd


A side point – I don’t believe Trump colluded with Russia, but I do believe him and Putin had a relatively friendly relationship. I agreed with not impeaching him for collusion with Russia.

I think after this, his relationship with Russia will be ruined.

Sane Policy on War

: January 7, 2020

The only good reason to go to war with another country is that that country is planning to kill American civilians. There’s no other good reason. That includes oil and Israel. it includes corrupt and totalitarian leaders, because if another country wants a version of freedom (which may be different from ours), it needs to initiate that itself.

Why I tolerate Opposing Views (posted on social media)

: January 7, 2020

There is not much debate here, but in other places there is.  Here is the explanation:

Because I have a lot of experience in debates and I’ve been through intense debates way longer than this. Before America was politically polarized, I had debates in underground circles. I won’t purge you for disagreeing with my politics. It’s short sighted and will just make you double down harder to flip me off.