Change in Predictions

: December 5, 2019

I initially predicted a Warren win of the nomination, but now I think Biden will win.

There are a few reasons:
1) Sanders and Warren went off the cliff on illegal immigration.
2) It’s becoming apparent that Biden wasn’t a hawk, Hillary Clinton was the hawk. Even on Iraq, Biden tried to press for internationalism and UN inspections to first see if Saddam Hussein had WMD. Obama’s mistake was appointing Clinton, not Biden.
3) Biden chases the vote of the rural poor, not just the urban poor. Although Sanders does too.

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